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Opta Supercomputer delivers title blow to Arsenal, downgrades chances to 15%

Opta supercomputer has delivered a heartbreaking prediction for Arsenal in the title race, reducing their chances to a mere 15%

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Arsenal’s bid for the Premier League title this season has received a significant setback, as revealed by Opta’s supercomputer, which has downgraded their chances of clinching the championship to a mere 15 percent. 

This considerable decline follows the Gunners’ recent draw against Liverpool and a disheartening 2-0 defeat at the hands of West Ham.

Just before December 18, Mikel Arteta’s squad boasted a promising 29.9 percent probability of ending their two-decade-long wait for the league title. However, that optimism has plummeted dramatically to a mere 15.3 percent likelihood, despite Arsenal sitting a mere two points behind leaders Liverpool at the midpoint of the Premier League season.

Opta’s analysis places Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City as the primary beneficiaries of Arsenal’s stumbling form. City, aiming for a fourth consecutive Premier League title, have seen their title-winning probability soar from 39.3 percent on December 18 to a commanding 55.1 percent as of now.

Here's how the Opta probabilities have changed as a result of the recent festive fixtures

According to Opta supercomputer, Arsenal are third favourites in the Premier League title race this season

READ MORE: Mikel Arteta identifies two area of improvement for Arsenal

This notable rise in City’s chances is seen as an offset to Arsenal’s decline, despite City playing only one league game during this period due to their participation in the FIFA Club World Cup in Saudi Arabia.

While Liverpool’s chances have marginally increased from 23.6 percent to 27.3 percent, having drawn with Arsenal and triumphed over Burnley during the festive fixtures, Aston Villa’s title prospects have taken a hit, dwindling to a mere 1.9 percent following underwhelming results against Sheffield United and Manchester United.

Tottenham, currently in fifth place, who showed early promise in the season, are given a slender 0.3 percent chance of ending their prolonged league title drought.

Looking ahead to the upcoming fixtures, City face Sheffield United, Aston Villa host Burnley, Arsenal visit Fulham, and Tottenham welcome Bournemouth. Liverpool will take on Newcastle United at Anfield on New Year’s Day.

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